Opinion

How Does Roma’s Run-in Compare to Their Rivals?

ROME, ITALY - APRIL 02: AS Roma fans during the Serie A match between AS Roma and UC Sampdoria at Stadio Olimpico on April 02, 2023 in Rome, Italy. (Photo by Paolo Bruno/Getty Images)
RomaPress Staff
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We are approaching the business end of the season. Titles and relegation spots are still to be fought for. Most pertinent for Roma is the battle for the Champions League places. What’s more, it is not just clubs gearing up for the final weeks of the season, as bookies also have the final offers for the season ready to go and fans are eagerly anticipating the culminating matches. Here we look at the chances of Roma defying the odds and snatching that elusive Champions League qualification.

In reality there are four teams battling it out for third and fourth spots. So how does Roma’s run-in compare to those other three teams, and what are the chances of the Giallorossi booking their place in the Champions League for the first time since 2018/19?

Roma

  • Atalanta (Away): 24th April
  • Milan (Home): 29th April
  • Monza (Away): 3rd May
  • Inter (Home): 7th May
  • Bologna (Away): 14th May
  • Salernitana (Home): 21st May
  • Fiorentina (Away): 28th May
  • Spezia (Home): 4th June

The first thing that jumps out from that fixture list is that Roma play each of their rivals for 3rd and 4th spot in the last eight games of the season. In a run of four games, Mourinho’s men travel to Atalanta before hosting both Milan clubs. If they are within spitting distance of fourth spot after those games think they will be in the box seat, as the remaining fixtures are against teams that in all likelihood will have nothing to play for.



There is of course another route to the Champions League, via the Europa League, with Roma facing Feyenoord in the quarters, the team they beat in the final of the Europa Conference League last season.

Milan

  • Lecce (Home): 23rd April
  • Roma (Away): 29th April
  • Cremonese (Home): 3rd May
  • Lazio (Home): 7th May
  • Spezia (Away): 14th May
  • Sampdoria (Home): 21st May
  • Juventus (Away): 28th May
  • Verona (Home): 4th June

Milan face all of the current bottom five teams in their last eight fixtures, which makes them favourites for that third spot.

Inter

  • Empoli (Away): 23rd April
  • Lazio (Home): 30th April
  • Verona (Away): 3rd May
  • Roma (Away): 7th May
  • Sassuolo (Home): 14th May
  • Napoli (Away): 21st May
  • Atalanta (Home): 28th May
  • Torino (Away): 4th June

Inter’s run in features several midtable sides, but crucially, the top two plus Roma and Atalanta. They have the toughest set of fixtures on paper.

Atalanta

  • Roma (Home): 24th April
  • Torino (Away): 29th April
  • Spezia (Home): 3rd May
  • Juventus (Home): 7th May
  • Salernitana (Away): 14th May
  • Verona (Home): 21st May
  • Inter (Away): 28th May
  • Monza (Home): 4th June

Atalanta’s set of games does not look the most demanding, with the ties against Roma, Juve and Inter being the ones where their season will more than likely be defined.

Looking at all four run-ins, it does appear that Roma and Milan are the two who should be most confident going into the home straight.

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