According to data compiled by Opta, Roma has an excellent chance of finishing in the top eight of the Europa League League Phase, a result that would guarantee direct access to the competition’s round of 16.
The new UEL format, introduced this year, stipulates that the top eight teams at the end of the single-group phase advance directly to the round of 16, bypassing the playoffs.
The Giallorossi, following their victory against Midtjylland, are in 15th place in the standings, one point behind eighth place.
Recent performances, combined with an increasingly defined playing style under Gasperini, lead analysts to consider Roma among the favorites to secure a direct placement in the top eight of the single-group phase.
Opta bases its predictions on advanced statistical models that take into account numerous factors: current form, European history, opponent difficulty, expected goals (xG), and squad fitness.
According to these parameters, Roma’s chances of qualifying directly for the round of 16 would be over 70%.
