Matchday 28: Roma-Atalanta Preview

Roma-Atalanta face-off in Rome
RomaPress Staff

Roma enter arguably the most crucial phase of their season this month with crucial fixtures both in Serie A and the Conference League.

Although they’ve experienced several disappointing results, the Giallorossi have remained adamant in recent weeks they still have a chance at a top four league finish. As a result, their showdown tomorrow evening against fifth-placed Atalanta has massive implications.

Roma currently sit sixth in Serie A with 44 points while La Dea, who also have a match in hand, are fifth with 47—three points behind fourth-placed Juventus.

Given this, the loser of tomorrow’s clash in Rome would be dealt a huge blow in their pursuit of the fourth and final Champions League place.

Both sides will be dealing with key absences but Atalanta are experiencing an emergency situation in attack. Veteran duo Josip Iličić and Duvan Zapata are unavailable while captain Rafael Toloi misses out due to suspension. In addition, versatile midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi has been limited this week in training and may also be absent.

Roma, meanwhile, continue to be without first choice left back Leonardo Spinazzola. Starting midfielder Sergio Oliveira is also a question mark entering the clash. The Portuguese international was absent during last week’s win over Spezia due to a muscle strain—though, he’s expected to be called-up.

The two sides kick-off on tomorrow evening at 18.00 CET at the Stadio Olimpico.

Probable Formations

Roma (3-4-1-2): Rui Patricio; Mancini, Smalling, Kumbulla; Karsdorp, Cristante, Mkhitaryan, Viña; Pellegrini; Zaniolo, Abraham
Fuzato, Boer, Maitland-Niles, Ibañez, Keramitsis, Bove, Darboe, Sergio Oliveira, Zalewski, Veretout, Volpato, Pérez, El Shaarawy, Shomurodov

Atalanta (3-4-1-2): Musso; Djimsiti, Demiral, Palomino; Hateboer, De Roon, Freuler, Maehle; Koopmeiners; Boga, Pasalic
Bench: Sportiello, Rossi, Zappacosta, Pezzella, Malinovskyi, Scalvini, Pessina, Mihaila, Muriel, Miranchuk

Betting Insights from Falcona Forecast


2021/2022 Statistical Profile
  • Forecast Power Rating: 5th
  • Non-penalty xG: 1.6
  • Post-shot xG Against: 1.1
  • Goal Creating Actions: 2.4
  • Shot Creating Actions: 24.8
  • Conversion Rate: -.12


2021/2022 Statistical Profile
  • Forecast Power Rating: 2nd
  • Non-penalty xG: 1.6
  • Post-shot xG Against: 1.0
  • Goal Creating Actions: 3.1
  • Shot Creating Actions: 24.5
  • Conversion Rate: +.1

Consensus Odds

  • Roma Win: +157 (2.57)
  • Atalanta Win: +168 (2.68)
  • Draw: +248 (3.48)
  • Over 2.5 Goals: -137 (1.73)
  • Under 2.5 Goals: +108 (2.08)

Match Forecast

  • Result: Atalanta Win (48%)
  • Goals: Over 2.5 goals (61%)
  • Recommended Pick: Over 2.5 goals
The Falcona Forecast

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MatchDay 38
26 May 20:45