Matchday 31: Sampdoria-Roma Preview

The final international break is complete as Roma prepare to enter the final stretch of their 2021/2022 campaign.

The capital club travel to Liguria tomorrow evening to face-off against Marco Giampaolo’s Sampdoria side at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

José Mourinho’s men enter the affair on an 11-match unbeaten streak in Serie A–their last defeat occurring nearly three months ago on January 9th against Juventus. They’re also coming off a dominating performance against in-city rivals Lazio in the Derby della Capitale–a victory that kept their hopes of possible top four finish alive.

However, it remains to be seen if Mourinho will rotate his team given that they play again on Thursday in the quarterfinals of the Conference League against Bodø/Glimt.

Sampdoria, meanwhile, are still getting used to life under new manager Marco Giampaolo, who was re-appointed in late January.

Since his return, the Blucerchiati have tallied 3 wins and 5 draws but still find themselves only seven points above the drop zone. However, just before the international break they earned a crucial 2-0 victory over Venezia and snapped a three-match losing skid.

They’ll still be forced to deal with two big absences in the form of Mikkel Damsgaard, who’s been out since October, and  Albin Ekdal, who suffered an injury on Tuesday with Sweden.

Kick-off is at 18.00 CET at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genova.

Probable Formations

Sampdoria
(4-3-1-2): Audero; Bereszynski, Ferrari, Colley, Murru; Candreva, Rincon, Thorsby; Sensi; Sabiri, Caputo

Bench: Falcone, Ravaglia, Magnani, Conti, Augello, Yoshida, Trimboli, Vieira, Askildsen, Giovinco, Quagliarella

Roma
(3-4-2-1): Rui Patricio; Mancini, Smalling, Ibañez; Karsdorp, Oliveira, Cristante, Zalewski; Mkhitaryan, Pellegrini; Abraham

Bench: Fuzato, Boer, Maitland-Niles, Viña, Kumbulla, Cristante, El Shaarawy, Bove, Darboe, Diawara, Perez, Felix, Shomurodov

Betting Insights from Falcona Forecast

Roma

2021/2022 Statistical Profile
  • Forecast Power Rating: 6th
  • Non-penalty xG: 1.6
  • Post-shot xG Against: 1.1
  • Goal Creating Actions: 2.4
  • Shot Creating Actions: 23.9
  • Conversion Rate: -.09

Sampdoria

2021/2022 Statistical Profile
  • Forecast Power Rating: 14th
  • Non-penalty xG: .92
  • Post-shot xG Against: 1.6
  • Goal Creating Actions: 1.9
  • Shot Creating Actions: 17.0
  • Conversion Rate: +.18

Consensus Odds

  • Roma Win: -110
  • Sampdoria Win: +295
  • Draw: +270
  • Over 2.5 Goals: -118
  • Under 2.5 Goals: -102

Match Forecast

  • Coming off a big Derby win, we'd caution placing a wager on Roma this weekend.
  • Result: Roma Win (53%)
  • Goals: Even (50%)
  • Recommended Pick: N/A

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